Lichtman fails to predict the correct outcome of the presidential election

He was wrong.

Allan Lichtman, the historian who predicted 9 of the last 10 elections, failed to accurately predict which voters would choose to be the 47th President of the United States.

IN a fantastic political comebackex-president Donald Trump defeated vice president and Democratic nominee Kamala Harris to take back the White House Tuesday evening.

“Right now after a very long night, I’m taking some time off to assess why I was wrong and what the future holds for America,” Lichtman told USA TODAY Wednesday morning.

Lichtman, an American university professor, had predicted that Harris would narrowly beat Trump.

Trump, who lost the 2020 election that unseated President Joe Biden, overcame political hurdles, including two impeachment hearings, a criminal conviction and two attempted murders.

At the end of an almost six-hour long podcast hosted by his son Samuel Lichtman on Tuesday, the 77-year-old history professor said he was shocked by the outcome of the election.

“Watch Thursday for a discussion of what happened”

In a post on X later Wednesday morning, Lichtman thanked “all the loyal members, subscribers and viewers of our live show” and said he will address his incorrect prediction later this week.

“We will continue and evaluate yesterday’s results,” he wrote. “Please tune in Thursday at 9pm Eastern for a discussion of what happened.”

“At a certain point, the math just doesn’t add up anymore”

The famous prognosticator had said his “13 keys” system indicated that Harris would win.

With his system, Lichtman has now correctly predicted 9 out of 11 presidential elections since 1984. His only other blip came in 2000 when Republican George W. Bush defeated Democrat Al Gore.

Lichtman touted results from nationwide polls showing democracy is rising as an important issue among voters, with the economy still in first place, followed by issues such as abortion (14%) and immigration (11%).

“If she can pull off Pennsylvania, she still has a good shot,” Lichtman said just before the final hour of the show before the Nevada results came in. “She’s out of votes.”

Pennsylvania was later called for Trump.

“At a certain point, the math just doesn’t add up anymore,” his son said toward the end of the interview. “This show has just been crazy…I think we’re both a little surprised.”

Lichtman: “I think she lost”

In the final hour, as Lichtman and his son analyzed votes in the swing state of Pennsylvania, his son called the election.

“I think she lost,” his son said during the final 10 minutes of the show.

“So do I,” Lichtman immediately replied, then placed both hands on his temples. “Something ridiculous would have to happen… I’m still looking for a Pennsylvania miracle but I don’t think we’re going to have it.”

“I’ve gotten a lot of very nice emails,” Lichtman told his son, “saying that no matter what happens, they respect my vote.”

“The math doesn’t work,” Lichtman said. “The numbers don’t lie.”

“I can’t believe it,” said his son. “I’m kind of in shock right now.”

His father replied, “It’s hard to believe.”

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Cast: Jonathan Limehouse.

Natalie Neysa Alund is a senior reporter for USA TODAY. Reach her at [email protected] and follow her at X @nataliealund.

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Lichtman fails to predict the correct outcome of the presidential election

“Watch Thursday for a discussion of what happened”

“At a certain point, the math just doesn’t add up anymore”

Lichtman: “I think she lost”

Kaneb

“Watch Thursday for a discussion of what happened”

“At a certain point, the math just doesn’t add up anymore”

Lichtman: “I think she lost”

Kaneb

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